1. Selelekela sa Directional Movement Index (DMI)
1.1 Directional Movement Index ke eng?
The Index ea Directional Movement Index (DMI) ke a Analysis botekgeniki sesebelisoa se etselitsoeng ho tsebahatsa tataiso ea metsamao ea theko mebarakeng ea lichelete. E thehiloe ke J. Welles Wilder Jr. ka 1978, DMI ke karolo ea letoto la matšoao a kenyeletsang Kakaretso ea Directional Index (ADX), e lekanyang matla a mokhoa ona.
DMI e na le mela e 'meli, Positive Directional Indicator (+DI) le Negative Directional Indicator (-DI). Lipontšo tsena li etselitsoe ho hapa motsamao ka mekhoa ea theko e holimo le e tlase, ka ho latellana.
1.2 Sepheo sa DMI
Sepheo sa mantlha sa DMI ke ho fana ka traders le batseteli ba nang le leseli mabapi le tataiso le matla a 'maraka. Tlhahisoleseding ena e bohlokoa mekhoeng ea ho etsa liqeto, haholo-holo mabapi le ho fumana nako e nepahetseng ea ho kena kapa ho tsoa trade. Ka ho sekaseka kamano lipakeng tsa mela ea +DI le -DI, traders e ka lekanya maikutlo a teng a mmaraka le ho fetola maano a bona ka nepo.
1.3 Likaroloana tsa DMI
DMI e na le likarolo tse tharo tsa bohlokoa:
- Positive Directional Indicator (+DI): E lekanya ho nyoloha ha theko mme e supa khatello ea ho reka.
- Negative Directional Indicator (-DI): E lekanya ho theoha ha theko mme e bolela khatello ea thekiso.
- Kakaretso ea Index Directional (ADX): E etsa karolelano ea boleng ba +DI le -DI ka nako e itseng 'me e bontša matla a mokhoa, ho sa tsotelehe hore na e ea kae.
1.4 Ho bala DMI
Palo ea DMI e kenyelletsa mehato e 'maloa, haholo-holo e shebaneng le ho bapisa maemo a tlase le a phahameng a latellanang ho fumana hore na mokhoa le matla a teng. +DI le -DI li baloa ho ipapisitsoe le liphapano tsa maemo a holimo le a tlase a latellanang, 'me li bebofatsoe ka nako e itseng, hangata matsatsi a 14. ADX e baloa ka ho nka karolelano ea ho tsamaea ea phapang lipakeng tsa +DI le -DI, ebe o e arola ka kakaretso ea +DI le -DI.
1.5 Bohlokoa Limmarakeng tsa Lichelete
DMI e sebelisoa haholo limmarakeng tse fapaneng tsa lichelete, ho kenyeletsoa metšoasong, forex, le thepa. E bohlokoa ka ho khetheha limmarakeng tse bonts'ang mekhoa e matla ea litloaelo. Ka ho fana ka lintlha tse mabapi le tataiso ea mekhoa le botsitso, DMI ea thusa traders optimize bona mawa afe khoebo bakeng sa maemo a fapaneng a mmaraka.
1.6 Lethathamo la Kakaretso
tšobotsi | Tlhaloso |
---|---|
E thehiloe ke | J. Welles Wilder Jr. ka 1978 |
dikarolo | +DI, -DI, ADX |
morero | Ho khetholla tataiso le matla |
Motheo oa Palo | Liphapang tse phahameng le tse tlase tse latellanang |
Nako e Tloaelehileng | Matsatsi a 14 (a ka fapana) |
kopo | Li-stock, Forex, Thepa, le limmaraka tse ling tsa lichelete |
2. Mokhoa oa Palo oa Directional Movement Index (DMI)
2.1 Selelekela ho Palo ea DMI
Palo ea Directional Movement Index (DMI) e kenyelletsa letoto la mehato e sekasekang metsamao ea litheko ho netefatsa tataiso le matla a mekhoa ea mebaraka. Ts'ebetso ena e bohlokoa ts'ebelisong e ntle ea DMI maqheka a khoebo.
2.2 Palo ea Mohato ka Mohato
Ho Khetheha Metsamao ea Litsela:
- Positive Directional Movement (+DM): Phapang pakeng tsa bophahamo ba hajoale le bo phahameng bo fetileng.
- Negative Directional Movement (-DM): Phapang pakeng tsa tlase e fetileng le e tlase hona joale.
- Haeba +DM e le kholo ho feta -DM 'me ka bobeli li le kholo ho feta lefela, boloka +DM 'me u behe -DM ho zero. Haeba -DM e le kholoanyane, etsa se fapaneng.
Mofuta oa 'nete (TR):
- Boleng bo boholo ka ho fetisisa ho tse tharo tse latelang: a) Holimo ha joale ho tloswa Hajoale Tlase b) Holimo hajwale ho tloswa E fetileng Koala (boleng bo felletseng) c) Hajoale Tlase ho tloswa E Fetileng Tlwaela (boleng bo felletseng)
- TR ke tekanyo ea ho hloka botsitso 'me e bohlokoa haholo palong ea +DI le -DI.
Smoothed True Range le Directional Movements:
- Ka tloaelo, nako ea matsatsi a 14 e sebelisoa.
- Smoothed TR = E Fetileng Smoothed TR – (E Fetileng Smoothed TR / 14) + Hajoale TR
- Smoothed +DM le -DM li baloa ka ho tšoana.
Ho bala +DI le -DI:
- +DI = (Smoothed +DM / Smoothed TR) x 100
- -DI = (Smoothed -DM / Smoothed TR) x 100
- Litekanyetso tsena li emela matšoao a motsamao oa tataiso e le peresente ea kakaretso ea theko.
Kakaretso ea Index Directional (ADX):
- ADX e baloa ka ho qala ka ho fumana Phapano e Felletseng lipakeng tsa +DI le -DI ebe e arola sena ka kakaretso ea +DI le -DI.
- Boleng ba sephetho bo lokisoa ka karolelano e tsamaeang, hangata ka matsatsi a 14, ho fumana ADX.
2.3 Mohlala Palo
Ha re nahaneng ka mohlala ho bontša mokhoa oa ho bala oa DMI:
- Nahana ka lintlha tse latelang bakeng sa nako ea matsatsi a 14:
- Maemo a holimo, a tlase, le a koalehileng a stock.
- Bala +DM, -DM, le TR bakeng sa letsatsi ka leng.
- Bareletsa litekanyetso tsena nakong ea matsatsi a 14.
- Kopanya +DI le -DI.
- Bala ADX ka ho sebelisa boleng bo boreleli ba +DI le -DI.
2.4 Tlhaloso ea Boleng bo Baliloeng
- Holimo +DI le Tlase -DI: E bontša mokhoa o matla oa ho ea holimo.
- Holimo -DI le Tlase +DI: E bolela mokhoa o matla oa ho theoha.
- Crossover ea +DI le -DI: E fana ka maikutlo a liphetoho tse ka bang teng.
Bohato ba | Tlhaloso |
---|---|
Metsamao ea Tataiso | Papiso ea maemo a holimo le a tlase a latellanang |
'Nete Range | Tekanyo ea ho hloka botsitso |
Ho boreleli | Karolelano ka nako e tloaelehileng ea matsatsi a 14 |
Ho bala +DI le -DI | E hlalosa matla a metsamao e yang hodimo/ tlase |
Karolelano ea Tataiso ea Tataiso (ADX) | E etsa karolelano ea phapang lipakeng tsa +DI le -DI |
3. Maemo a Matle a ho Hloma DMI ka Linako tse Fapaneng
3.1 Ho utloisisa Phapang ea Nako
Katleho ea Directional Movement Index (DMI) e ka fapana haholo ho pholletsa le linako tse fapaneng. Traders sebelisa DMI tlhahlobong ea nako e khuts'oane, ea nako e mahareng, le ea nako e telele, e 'ngoe le e' ngoe e hloka hore ho be le liphetoho maemong a matšoao bakeng sa ts'ebetso e nepahetseng.
3.2 Khoebo ea Nako e Khutšoane
- Bolele ba nako: Hangata e nka metsotso e 1 ho isa ho e 15.
- Nako e nepahetseng bakeng sa DMI: Nako e khuts'oane, joalo ka matsatsi a 5 ho isa ho a 7, e arabela haholoanyane metsamaong ea litheko.
- litsobotsi: E fana ka matšoao a potlakileng, empa e ka eketsa kotsi ya dipono tsa bohata ka baka la lerata la mmaraka.
3.3 Khoebo ea Nako e Bohareng
- Bolele ba nako: Hangata e nka hora e le 1 ho isa ho letsatsi le le leng.
- Nako e nepahetseng bakeng sa DMI: Nako e itekanetseng, joalo ka matsatsi a 10 ho isa ho a 14, e leka-lekanya ho arabela le ho tšepahala.
- litsobotsi: E loketse ho swing traders, e fanang ka tekanyo pakeng tsa lebelo la karabelo le netefatso ea mokhoa.
3.4 Khoebo ea Nako e telele
- Bolele ba nako: E kenyelletsa lichate tsa letsatsi le khoeli ho isa ho tsa khoeli le khoeli.
- Nako e nepahetseng bakeng sa DMI: Nako e telele, joalo ka matsatsi a 20 ho isa ho a 30, e fokotsa maikutlo a ho fetoha ha theko ea nakoana.
- litsobotsi: E fana ka matšoao a ts'eptjoang bakeng sa mekhoa ea nako e telele empa e ka lieha ho kena le ho tsoa.
3.5 Ho Itloaetsa DMI bakeng sa Matlotlo a Fapaneng
Matlotlo a fapaneng a lichelete a ka 'na a hloka hore ho behoe litlhophiso tsa DMI. Mohlala, li-stock tse sa fetoheng haholo li ka rua molemo ka nako e khuts'oane ho nka liphetoho tse potlakileng tsa theko, athe thepa e sa fetoheng e ka hloka nako e telele ho sefa metsamao e sa reng letho.
Bolele ba nako | Nako e nepahetseng | litsobotsi |
---|---|---|
Nako e khutšoane | matsatsi 5-7 | Matšoao a potlakileng, kotsi e kholo ea ho ba le maikutlo a fosahetseng |
Nako e Bohareng | matsatsi 10-14 | Karabelo e leka-lekaneng le ho tšepahala |
Nako e telele | matsatsi 20-30 | Tsebo e ka tšeptjoang ea mokhoa, karabelo e liehang |
4. Tlhaloso ea Lipontšo tsa DMI
4.1 Metheo ea Tlhaloso ea DMI
Ho utloisisa matšoao a hlahisoang ke Directional Movement Index (DMI) ho bohlokoa bakeng sa tšebeliso ea eona e atlehileng khoebong. Tšebelisano lipakeng tsa mela ea +DI, -DI, le ADX e fana ka leseli la bohlokoa mabapi le mekhoa ea mebaraka le menyetla e ka bang teng ea khoebo.
4.2 Ho sekaseka +DI le -DI Crossovers
- +DI Ho tšela ka holimo -DI: Hangata sena se hlalosoa e le lets'oao la bullish, ho fana ka maikutlo a hore uptrend e fumana matla.
- -DI Ho tšela ka holimo +DI: E bonts'a lets'oao la li-bearish, le fana ka maikutlo a ho matlafatsa downtrend.
4.3 Karolo ea ADX ho Tiiso ea Lipontšo
- Boleng bo Phahameng ba ADX (>25): E fana ka maikutlo a mokhoa o matla, ebang ke holimo kapa tlase.
- Boleng bo Tlase ba ADX (<20): E bontsha mokgwa o fokolang kapa o ka thoko.
- ADX e ntseng e eketseha: E bolela matla a ntseng a eketseha, ho sa tsotellehe hore na mokhoa ona o phahame kapa o theoha.
4.4 Ho Khetholla Liphetoho tsa Mekhoa
- DMI Crossover e nang le Rising ADX: Crossover ea mela ea +DI le -DI, hammoho le ADX e ntseng e phahama, e ka bontša phetoho e ka bang teng.
- ADX Peaking: Ha ADX e phahama 'me e qala ho theoha, hangata e bontša hore mokhoa oa hona joale oa fokola.
4.5 Ho sebelisa DMI bakeng sa Limmaraka tsa Range-Bound
- ADX e tlase ebile e tsitsitse: Limmarakeng tse fapaneng, moo ADX e lulang e le tlase ebile e tsitsitse, li-crossovers tsa DMI li kanna tsa se ts'epahale.
- Ho sisinyeha ha DMI: Limmarakeng tse joalo, mela ea DMI e na le ho sisinyeha ntle le tataiso e hlakileng, e leng se etsang hore maano a khoebo a se ke a sebetsa hantle.
Mofuta oa Pontšo | Tlhaloso | Karolo ea ADX |
---|---|---|
+DI lifapano ka holimo -DI | Pontšo ea mokhoa oa Bullish | ADX e phahameng e matlafatsa letšoao lena |
-DI e tšela ka holimo +DI | Pontšo ea mokhoa oa Bearish | ADX e phahameng e matlafatsa letšoao lena |
DMI crossover e nang le ADX e ntseng e phahama | Phetoho e ka bang teng | Ho phahama ha ADX ho bonts'a matla a ntseng a eketseha |
ADX e phahama ebile e theoha | Ho fokola ha mokhoa oa hona joale | E thusa ho tsebahatsa liphetoho tse etsahalang |
ADX e tlase ebile e tsitsitse | Sesupo sa mmaraka oa mefuta e fapaneng | Matshwao a DMI ha a tshepahale hakaalo |
5. Ho kopanya DMI le Lipontšo tse ling
5.1 Bohlokoa ba Phapang ea Lipontšo
Le hoja Directional Movement Index (DMI) e le sesebelisoa se matla ka boeona, ho e kopanya le matšoao a mang a theknoloji ho ka ntlafatsa katleho ea eona le ho fana ka pono e pharaletseng haholoanyane ea maemo a 'maraka. Mokhoa ona oa li-multi-indicator o thusa ho netefatsa matšoao le ho fokotsa monyetla oa ho ba le maikutlo a fosahetseng.
5.2 Lipontšo tsa Tlatsetso ho DMI
1. Karolelano ea ho Tsamaea:
- tšebeliso: Hlalosa tataiso e akaretsang ea mekhoa.
- Ho kopana le DMI: Sebelisa li-average tse tsamaeang ho netefatsa mokhoa o bontšitsoeng ke DMI. Mohlala, crossover ea + DI e nang le ADX e kaholimo ho 25, e kopantsoeng le theko e kaholimo ho karolelano e tsamaeang, e ka matlafatsa lets'oao la khoebo.
2. A lekanyelitsoeng Matla Index (RSI):
- tšebeliso: Lekanya lebelo le phetoho ea metsamao ea theko ho tseba maemo a theko e phahameng kapa a rekisoang haholo.
- Ho kopana le DMI: RSI e ka thusa ho netefatsa matšoao a DMI. Mohlala, lets'oao la ts'ebetso la DMI le tsamaeang le ho bala ha RSI kaholimo ho 70 le ka bonts'a boemo bo rekoang haholo, tlhokomeliso e bonts'ang.
3. Bollinger Libete:
- tšebeliso: Lekola maraka volatility le maemo a rekoang hofeta tekanyo/ho rekiswa hofeta tekanyo.
- Ho kopana le DMI: Lihlopha tsa Bollinger li ka thusa ho utloisisa maemo a feto-fetohang a matšoao a DMI. Letšoao la DMI ka har'a sehlopha se moqotetsane sa Bollinger se ka bonts'a monyetla oa ho phatloha.
MACD (Ho Tsamaea Karolelano ea Khokahano):
- tšebeliso: Hlalosa liphetoho ho matla a tloaelo, tataiso, lebelo le nako.
- Ho kopana le DMI: MACD e ka sebelisoa hammoho le DMI ho netefatsa liphetoho tsa mekhoa. Crossover e ntle ea MACD (bullish) hammoho le + DI crossing ka holimo -DI e ka ba pontšo e matla ea mokhoa oa ho ea holimo.
Stochastic Oscillator:
- tšebeliso: Latela tsoelo-pele ka ho bapisa theko e itseng ea ho koala le mefuta e mengata ea litheko ka nako e itseng.
- Ho kopana le DMI: Ha DMI le Stochastic li fana ka maikutlo a hore maemo a theko e boima kapa a rekisoang haholo, e ka fana ka ts'epo e kholo ho trade letšoao.
pontshi | tšebeliso | Ho kopana le DMI |
---|---|---|
Hatela likarolelano | Boitsebiso ba Mekhoa | Netefatsa matšoao a DMI |
Relative Strength Index (RSI) | Overbought/Oversold Conditions | Netefatsa matshwao a DMI, haholo maemong a feteletseng |
Bollinger Bands | Ho feto-fetoha ha 'Maraka le Maemo a Theko | Fetola mats'oao a DMI ka ho feto-fetoha ha maemo |
MACD | Trend Matla le Momentum | Netefatsa liphetoho tsa mekhoa e bontšitsoeng ke DMI |
Stochastic Oscillator | Maemo a Momentum le Overbought/Oversold | Matlafatsa matšoao a DMI, haholo-holo maemong a feteletseng |
6. Maano a Taolo ea Likotsi Ha U Sebelisa DMI
6.1 Seabo sa Taolo ea Likotsi Khoebong
Taolo e sebetsang ea likotsi e bohlokoa khoebong, haholo ha o sebelisa matšoao a tekheniki joalo ka Directional Movement Index (DMI). E thusa ho fokotsa tahlehelo le ho sireletsa phaello ha e ntse e eketsa melemo e ka bang teng ea DMI.
6.2 Ho beha litaelo tsa Stop-Loss
1. Ho theha Stop-Loss Maemo:
- Sebelisa matšoao a DMI ho beha litaelo tsa tahlehelo ea ho emisa. Ka mohlala, haeba a trade e kenngoa holim'a + DI crossover ka holimo -DI, ho lahleheloa ke setopo ho ka behoa ka tlase ho tlase ha morao tjena.
2. Trailing Stops:
- Kenya ts'ebetso ea ho emisa ho ts'oara ho sireletsa phaello. Joalo ka trade e tsamaisana hantle, lokisa taelo ea tahlehelo ea ho emisa ho latela mokhoa oa ho notlela phaello ha o ntse o fana ka sebaka sa ho sisinyeha ho eketsehileng.
6.3 Boemo ba Boemo
1. Conservative Position Sizing:
- Fetola boholo ba boemo ba khoebo ho latela matla a lets'oao la DMI. Matšoao a matla (mohlala, litekanyetso tse phahameng tsa ADX) a ka fana ka maemo a maholo, ha matšoao a fokolang a fana ka maikutlo a maemo a manyenyane.
2. fapakaneng:
- Hasa kotsi ka thepa e fapaneng kapa trades ho ena le ho tsepamisa maikutlo boemong bo le bong, leha matshwao a DMI a le matla.
6.4 Ho Sebelisa DMI bakeng sa Tlhahlobo ea Kotsi
1. Mokhoa oa Matla le Kotsi:
- Sebelisa karolo ea ADX ea DMI ho lekola matla a mokhoa. Mekhoa e matla (ADX e phahameng) hangata ha e na kotsi, athe mekhoa e fokolang (e tlase ea ADX) e ka eketsa kotsi.
2. Tlhahlobo ea ho feto-fetoha ha maemo:
- Kopanya DMI le matšoao a ho hloka botsitso ho utloisisa maemo a 'maraka hamolemo le ho lokisa maemo a kotsi. Mohlala, ho feto-fetoha ho hoholo ho ka hloka tahlehelo e matla ea ho emisa kapa boholo bo nyane ba maemo.
6.5 Ho Kenyelletsa Lipontšo tse ling tsa Taolo ea Kotsi
1. RSI le Maemo a Overbought/Oversold:
- Sebelisa RSI hammoho le DMI ho tseba lintlha tse ka fetohang tse ka bontšang kotsi e eketsehileng.
2. Likaroloana tse tsamaeang bakeng sa Tiisetso ea Sejoale-joale:
- Netefatsa matshwao a DMI ka karolelano e tsamayang ho netefatsa trades li lumellana le mokhoa oa kakaretso oa 'maraka, kahoo ho fokotsa kotsi.
Strategy | Tlhaloso |
---|---|
Litaelo tsa Stop-Loss | Sireletsa tahlehelong e kholo e thehiloeng ho matšoao a DMI |
Trailing emisa | Sireletsa phaello ha u ntse u lumella motsamao oa 'maraka |
Sizing maemo | fetola trade boholo bo ipapisitseng le matla a sesupo |
fapakaneng | Ho hasana kotsi ho pholletsa le multiple trades |
Tekolo ea Matla a Tloaelehileng | Sebelisa ADX ho lekola likotsi tse amanang le tloaelo |
Tlhahlobo ea ho hloka botsitso | Kopanya le matšoao a feto-fetohang bakeng sa tlhahlobo ea kotsi |
Lipontšo tse Eketsehileng | Sebelisa RSI, lipalo tse tsamaeang bakeng sa taolo e ntlafalitsoeng ea likotsi |